The fundamental nature of the log loss function
February 22, 2015 ยท Declared Dead ยท ๐ Fields of Logic and Computation II
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Authors
Vladimir Vovk
arXiv ID
1502.06254
Category
cs.LG: Machine Learning
Cross-listed
stat.ME
Citations
71
Venue
Fields of Logic and Computation II
Last Checked
5 months ago
Abstract
The standard loss functions used in the literature on probabilistic prediction are the log loss function, the Brier loss function, and the spherical loss function; however, any computable proper loss function can be used for comparison of prediction algorithms. This note shows that the log loss function is most selective in that any prediction algorithm that is optimal for a given data sequence (in the sense of the algorithmic theory of randomness) under the log loss function will be optimal under any computable proper mixable loss function; on the other hand, there is a data sequence and a prediction algorithm that is optimal for that sequence under either of the two other standard loss functions but not under the log loss function.
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