The fundamental nature of the log loss function

February 22, 2015 ยท Declared Dead ยท ๐Ÿ› Fields of Logic and Computation II

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Authors Vladimir Vovk arXiv ID 1502.06254 Category cs.LG: Machine Learning Cross-listed stat.ME Citations 71 Venue Fields of Logic and Computation II Last Checked 5 months ago
Abstract
The standard loss functions used in the literature on probabilistic prediction are the log loss function, the Brier loss function, and the spherical loss function; however, any computable proper loss function can be used for comparison of prediction algorithms. This note shows that the log loss function is most selective in that any prediction algorithm that is optimal for a given data sequence (in the sense of the algorithmic theory of randomness) under the log loss function will be optimal under any computable proper mixable loss function; on the other hand, there is a data sequence and a prediction algorithm that is optimal for that sequence under either of the two other standard loss functions but not under the log loss function.
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