Partial Identifiability in Discrete Data With Measurement Error

December 23, 2020 Β· Declared Dead Β· πŸ› Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence

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Authors Noam Finkelstein, Roy Adams, Suchi Saria, Ilya Shpitser arXiv ID 2012.12449 Category stat.ML: Machine Learning (Stat) Cross-listed cs.LG, stat.ME Citations 12 Venue Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence Last Checked 3 months ago
Abstract
When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often motivated by mathematical convenience, for the sake of exactly identifying the target of inference. We adopt the view that it is preferable to present bounds under justifiable assumptions than to pursue exact identification under dubious ones. To that end, we demonstrate how a broad class of modeling assumptions involving discrete variables, including common measurement error and conditional independence assumptions, can be expressed as linear constraints on the parameters of the model. We then use linear programming techniques to produce sharp bounds for factual and counterfactual distributions under measurement error in such models. We additionally propose a procedure for obtaining outer bounds on non-linear models. Our method yields sharp bounds in a number of important settings -- such as the instrumental variable scenario with measurement error -- for which no bounds were previously known.
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